Academic Research
 Central Asia 
 South Asia 
 Turkey 
 Others 
当前位置: Home>>Academic Research>>正文
Academic Research

Turkey's Predicament in the Syrian Crisis: Causes and Prospects

2017年12月13日 20:26  点击:[]

 

Abstract: Turkey's domestic challenges and diplomatic predicaments are intertwined in the Syrian crisis. Turkey's policy towards Syria is facing multiple predicaments such as the failure of the policy of overthrowing Bashar al-Assadthe emergence of the Kurdish militia in Syria by taking a ride with the trendsthe backfire of the“Islamic State”the refugee problemsand diplomatic dilemmas. The very reasons are that the Justice and Development Party in Turkey is pursuing both Neo-Ottomanism and sectarianismtrying to reshape the order of the Middle East to compete for regional dominance by using Syria as a strategic fulcrum. The main internal causes include Turkey has misjudged the evolution of the Syrian crisis situation by overestimating its own strength and influence. The intricate gaming of extraregional powers and regional powers in Syria is the external cause that exacerbates the predicaments of Turkey's policy towards Syria. For Turkey's policy towards Syria to get out of the predicamentsit depends on the realist adjustments for diplomacy of the Justice and Development Party on the one hand; and it will also be influenced by the struggle of the United States and Russia in the Middle Eastand the organizational factors of the Kurdistan and the“Islamic State”on the other hand.

Keywords: Turkeythe Syrian crisispolicy towards Syriapredicament

About the Authors: Both Li You and Wang Le are Assistant Research Fellows of the Research Center for Geopolitics of Central Asia at the School of Political Science and Public AdministrationXinjiang University

关闭